USD/JPY Historical Replay: 2020-11 to 2021-05
Replay USD/JPY from 104.541 to 109.412 over 130 authentic daily bars and feel the 2021 reflation trade pressure in real time. Step through each session, face 23 decision points with 8 critical, and receive an AI coach review—simulated capital, education only.
130 daily bars · 23 decision points · 2020-11 to 2021-05 · Forex
Key facts
This window spans 180 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 2.6% and a 7.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −2.6%
- Max run-up
- +7.9%
- Duration
- 180 days
- Largest single-day move
- +0.9%
- Bars
- 130 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 23
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scene opens with USD/JPY hovering near 104.541 in November 2020, as global markets digested the post-pandemic recovery narrative. The 2021 reflation trade was building momentum, with investors positioning for a weaker dollar as the U.S. economy reopened and fiscal stimulus flowed through the system. For forex traders, this five-month period represented a test of conviction—would the dollar maintain its safe-haven status or yield to the promise of synchronized global growth?
What unfolded over 130 daily bars was a steady climb from 104.541 to 109.412, a 4.7% appreciation of the yen against the dollar. The journey was not linear; a max drawdown of 2.6% tested positions, while the largest single-bar move of 0.9% reminded traders that volatility can surprise even in trending markets. The yen gained ground consistently, reflecting a market pricing in shifting monetary policy expectations and risk appetite changes across the G10.
For decision training, this replay offers 23 decision points—8 of them critical—forcing traders to navigate the tension between trend following and mean reversion. The modest daily volatility (0.9% largest move) rewards disciplined position sizing over aggressive betting. The max drawdown of 2.6% reminds us that even winning trades require capital preservation during pullbacks. Psychologically, holding through a 2.6% drawdown while the broader trend remains intact is where edge meets execution.