Coke Historical Replay: 2017-11 to 2018-05
Replay the 2017–2018 ferrous complex across 118 daily bars as U.S. coke climbed 11.1% from 1906 to 2118. Step through 21 decision points—7 critical—and get an AI coach review on your simulated calls.
118 daily bars · 21 decision points · 2017-11 to 2018-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 177 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 24.0% and a 22.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −24.0%
- Max run-up
- +22.3%
- Duration
- 177 days
- Largest single-day move
- −8.1%
- Bars
- 118 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 21
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The US coke market entered November 2017 facing a complex inflationary environment that threatened to reshape input costs across the steel supply chain. Over the next six months, from November 20, 2017 to May 16, 2018, spanning 118 daily bars, traders and procurement managers had to navigate shifting expectations around monetary policy, commodity demand, and supply constraints—all under the pressure of a market that could swing dramatically on macroeconomic news.
The period ultimately rewarded patient participants, with US coke rising from 1906 to 2118, an 11.1% gain. Yet the journey was far from linear. The market endured a maximum drawdown of 24.0% during the span, and volatility manifested in single-day moves as large as 8.1%, testing the conviction of anyone holding positions through the turbulence. Those who reacted to every spike would have been shaken out before the trend fully materialized.
This replay challenges participants to practice discipline across 21 decision points, 7 of which represent critical inflection moments. The core lesson is not about predicting direction but about managing process: sizing positions to survive drawdowns, resisting the urge to exit after sharp reversals, and maintaining a consistent framework when volatility spikes. It is a training ground for the psychological resilience that separates long-term commodity participants from those who capitulate at the wrong moment.