Coke Historical Replay: 2016-09 to 2017-01
Experience a 22.9% coke rally across 68 trading days ending 2017-01-09. Replay each session, navigate four critical decision points, and receive AI coach review in this simulated historical training scenario.
68 daily bars · 12 decision points · 2016-09 to 2017-01 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 102 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 32.7% and a 70.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −32.7%
- Max run-up
- +70.1%
- Duration
- 102 days
- Largest single-day move
- −17.4%
- Bars
- 68 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 12
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The autumn of 2016 found Chinese ferrous markets in turmoil as supply-side reforms reshaped the coal and coke complex. Beijing's push to eliminate overcapacity in the steel and coal industries created severe shortages, turning ordinary commodity trading into a high-stakes test of conviction and timing. Participants entering this replay step into a market where policy signals could reverse fortunes overnight, with industrial supply chains under unprecedented stress. The question for every trader was simple yet profound: how do you position yourself when fundamentals are rewriting themselves daily?
Over 68 trading days from September 29, 2016 to January 9, 2017, coke prices climbed from 1293 to 1589, delivering a 22.9% return for those who stayed the course. Yet this headline number conceals a far more turbulent journey. The market endured a maximum drawdown of 32.7% at various points, and single sessions saw moves as large as 17.4%. Twelve distinct decision points punctuated this period, with four demanding particularly critical choices. The rally was neither straight nor forgiving, punishing impatience while rewarding those who could read evolving supply dynamics.
This replay session trains the three pillars of market survival. Process discipline requires maintaining method even when paper losses reach 32.7%. Risk management demands position sizing that allows weathering 17.4% single-day shocks without forced liquidation. Psychological resilience separates those who exit at the drawdown trough from those who capture the subsequent 22.9% gain. By confronting these four critical moments without real capital at stake, traders build the experiential foundation that transforms market knowledge into executable skill.