Coke Historical Replay: 2013-11 to 2014-05
Replay the 2013-11 to 2014-05 coking coal cycle and feel a brutal 26.6% slide across 110 daily bars. Step through each authentic trading day, face 19 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
110 daily bars · 19 decision points · 2013-11 to 2014-05 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 168 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 32.1% and a 9.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −32.1%
- Max run-up
- +9.7%
- Duration
- 168 days
- Largest single-day move
- +6.2%
- Bars
- 110 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 19
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The coking coal market entered late 2013 under mounting pressure as global commodity sentiment soured. China's economic deceleration raised concerns about steel demand, casting a shadow over raw material markets. This replay places you inside that uncertain environment, asking how you would navigate a market where the fundamental outlook was deteriorating by the trading day.
From November 22, 2013 to May 9, 2014, coking coal prices fell from 1612 to 1183 across 110 trading days, a decline of 26.6%. The market endured a maximum drawdown of 32.1%, with volatility occasionally spiking as a single-day move of 6.2% tested positions. The sustained nature of this slide, rather than a sharp crash, made it particularly challenging for anyone maintaining long exposure.
The scenario's 19 decision points, 7 deemed critical, train you to act systematically rather than react emotionally. You will confront the challenge of managing risk when a position moves against you not for a day but for months. This replay teaches that disciplined position sizing, pre-defined exit triggers, and emotional control are essential when markets trend against you. The goal is not to predict reversals but to survive declining phases with your decision-making process intact.
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