USD/KES Historical Replay: 2020-09 to 2020-12
Replay 84 daily bars of USD/KES from September to December 2020, when a 2.6% drawdown defined an emerging-market stress quarter. Step through each session, face 15 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your historical choices in simulated capital only.
84 daily bars · 15 decision points · 2020-09 to 2020-12 · Forex
Key facts
This window spans 118 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 2.6% and a 3.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −2.6%
- Max run-up
- +3.7%
- Duration
- 118 days
- Largest single-day move
- −1.5%
- Bars
- 84 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 15
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The fourth quarter of 2020 placed the US dollar against the Kenyan shilling in a narrow corridor of tension. Emerging-market currencies were navigating pandemic-era uncertainty, shifting risk appetite and central bank signaling. USD/KES traded across 84 daily bars from September 1 to December 28, a period when the pair's direction was far from obvious to participants reassessing exposure to frontier-market dollar flows.
The close of 107.29 to 107.75 represented a modest 0.4% appreciation of the dollar over the full quarter, yet the journey was far quieter than the headline number suggested. A maximum drawdown of 2.6% tested positions at their weakest, while the largest single session swing of 1.5% reminded traders that emerging-market pairs can move sharply without warning. Fifteen decision points, five of them critical inflection moments, structured the replay and demanded disciplined responses to evolving conditions.
This replay is built for process, not prophecy. Participants must manage risk against a 2.6% drawdown threshold while resisting the temptation to read direction from a headline 0.4% move. The lesson centers on staying anchored to methodology when volatility arrives without obvious fundamental cause, and recognizing that survival through drawdowns is what defines long-term performance in any market environment.
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