USD/THB Historical Replay: 2018-07 to 2018-10
Replay 64 daily bars of USD/THB from July to October 2018, when emerging-market stress triggered a 3.5% drawdown. You step through each session, face 11 decision points including 4 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review in a simulated educational environment.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2018-07 to 2018-10 · Forex
Key facts
This window spans 87 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 3.5% and a 1.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −3.5%
- Max run-up
- +1.5%
- Duration
- 87 days
- Largest single-day move
- −0.9%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay opens in July 2018, when the Thai baht sat at 33.074 against the dollar. Global emerging markets were already feeling pressure from rising U.S. rates and trade tensions, but the contagion from Turkey and Argentina had not yet fully materialized. Participants enter this scenario at the cusp of a volatility surge, where decisions made over the coming weeks would determine whether they captured opportunity or avoided a 3.5% drawdown that lay ahead.
Over 64 trading days through early October, USD/THB moved from 33.074 to 32.73, a modest -1.0% decline overall. The real story, however, was the path: intermittent spikes of up to 0.9% in single sessions created sudden dislocations that tested position sizing and exit discipline. The market never collapsed, but the drawdown ceiling of 3.5% was tested more than once, forcing traders to navigate periods of acute stress amid shifting EM sentiment.
What makes this replay valuable is the cadence of its decision points. With 11 moments—four flagged as critical—players must confront the gap between analysis and execution. The 3.5% ceiling is not a theoretical number but a hard boundary requiring active risk management. Each 0.9% single-bar move becomes a test of pre-committed rules versus emotional impulse. This 2018 vintage offers a clean laboratory for building the habits—position sizing, stop discipline, and psychological resilience—that matter when market structure breaks down.
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