USD/ILS Historical Replay: 2018-07 to 2018-10
Replay 64 daily bars of USD/ILS from 2018-07-09 to 2018-10-04, navigating 4.0% drawdown swings during emerging market turmoil. Walk through 11 decision points day-by-day, receive AI coach review on your simulated calls, and learn how cross-border crises historically rippled through currency markets.
64 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2018-07 to 2018-10 · Forex
Key facts
This window spans 87 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 4.0% and a 2.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −4.0%
- Max run-up
- +2.5%
- Duration
- 87 days
- Largest single-day move
- +0.7%
- Bars
- 64 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the summer of 2018, USD/ILS traded in the shadow of a spreading emerging-market currency crisis. As Turkey's lira plunged and Argentina's peso collapsed under IMF pressure, investors fled risk across the board, including in traditionally stable Israeli shekel. The replay spans 64 trading days from July 9 to October 4, placing participants inside a market where direction was far from obvious and every decision carried real consequences.
Price action tells a nuanced story. The pair closed at 3.6251 on July 9 and ended at 3.632 on October 4, a mere 0.2% net move that masks considerable turbulence between. Maximum drawdown reached 4.0% and the largest single-bar move hit 0.7%, meaning volatility was real even if the final outcome was flat. Participants navigated 11 decision points across this span, four of them flagged as critical. The gap between small headline change and substantial intra-period stress captures exactly what makes EM forex treacherous.
For decision training, this replay emphasizes process over prophecy. A 4.0% drawdown tests discipline: when does volatility represent opportunity versus warning? The four critical points demand structured responses rather than reactive moves. Psychology matters here: flat outcomes after significant swings can erode confidence even without loss. Trainees learn to evaluate calls against the information available at each decision point, not against perfect hindsight, building habits suited to real markets where crises rarely announce themselves cleanly.
Featured in the archive