USD/KRW Historical Replay: 2012-11 to 2013-05
Replay 130 daily bars of USD/KRW from November 2012 to May 2013, capturing a 7.5% drawdown inside a brewing emerging-market carry bubble. Step through 23 decision points, including 8 critical ones, and receive AI coach feedback in a simulated, educational environment.
130 daily bars · 23 decision points · 2012-11 to 2013-05 · Forex
Key facts
This window spans 181 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.5% and a 11.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −7.5%
- Max run-up
- +11.5%
- Duration
- 181 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.3%
- Bars
- 130 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 23
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay transports participants to a pivotal moment in global currency markets: USD/KRW during the late 2012 carry-trade boom. With the Federal Reserve's QE program still injecting liquidity and yields scarce in developed markets, emerging-market currencies like the Korean won became destinations for yield-seeking capital. The scenario captures a period of fragile complacency before the storm—participants must navigate 130 daily bars of authentic price action while understanding the macro forces that made this setup so precarious.
What unfolds is deceptively quiet on the surface. The dollar strengthened only 1.9% over the full five months, closing at 1108.9 from an opening of 1088.5. Yet beneath this modest trend lies turbulence: a maximum drawdown of 7.5% and a largest single-bar move of 3.3% reveal sudden reversals that would have tested any carry position. The pair was not trending cleanly—it oscillated, spiked, and reversed, punishing those who assumed stability would persist.
The scenario's 23 decision points—8 flagged as critical—demand more than technical analysis. Participants face the core challenge of EM FX trading: distinguishing between noise and trend, managing exposure when drawdowns pile up, and resisting the psychological pull of extrapolating the recent past. This replay trains the habit of questioning consensus positioning and preparing for the unexpected volatility that historically follows periods of crowded carry trades.