New York Historical Replay: 2018-03 to 2020-08
Replay New York's housing market from March 2018 to August 2020 across 30 monthly bars showing a 5.7% close-to-close shift. Work through six decision points, including two critical calls, with day-by-day guidance and an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2018-03 to 2020-08 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 0.4% with a 5.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −0.4%
- Max run-up
- +5.8%
- Largest single-month move
- +1.4%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The New York property market replay spans from March 2018 to August 2020 across 30 monthly bars, covering the tail end of the 2010s and the early 2020s. This period presented a complex landscape where post-crisis growth was giving way to policy-driven uncertainty, with the Federal Reserve adjusting rates and geopolitical tensions adding noise to urban real estate valuations. Participants face six decision points, two of which are critical junctions where positioning could meaningfully affect portfolio outcomes.
What happened during these 30 months was a measured advance: prices moved from 197.01 to 208.27, representing a 5.7% close-to-close gain. The journey was anything but smooth on a monthly basis, with the largest single-bar move reaching 1.4%, while the maximum drawdown remained a modest 0.4%. This combination of limited downside protection alongside occasional sharp intrabar swings created an environment where passive holding worked, but active allocation required careful timing and conviction.
For decision training, this scenario exposes how small drawdowns can coexist with meaningful volatility within a single period, testing both risk calibration and patience. The challenge lies in resisting overreaction to 1.4% monthly spikes when the historical context suggests the underlying trend remains gradual. Participants learn to distinguish between signal and noise, refine position sizing around known drawdown parameters, and develop the psychological discipline to hold through periods where gains arrive incrementally rather than dramatically.
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