US 10-City Composite Historical Replay: 2010-10 to 2013-03
Replay 30 monthly bars of US 10-city housing from 2010-10 to 2013-03, navigating a 5.0% drawdown through 6 decision points. Step into each historical day, weigh the choices, and receive an AI coach review—all simulated capital, purely educational.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2010-10 to 2013-03 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 5.0% with a 9.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −5.0%
- Max run-up
- +9.8%
- Largest single-month move
- +1.0%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
This replay places participants in the complex landscape of US housing market recovery, spanning 30 monthly bars from October 2010 to March 2013. Having endured the catastrophic collapse of the previous years, the 10-city composite index faced a pivotal question: had the market truly stabilized, or would another leg down follow? With 6 decision points embedded in the data—2 deemed critical—participants had to navigate genuine uncertainty about the market's direction during this fragile recovery phase.
The scenario delivered a modest net gain of 4.3%, with prices rising from 157.15 to 163.88. Yet this headline figure obscures the tension embedded in the period. A maximum drawdown of 5.0% tested participants' risk discipline, while the largest single-bar move of 1.0% demanded psychological resilience. The 30 monthly bars required constant reassessment of positions, with the 6 decision points serving as crucibles where theory met reality.
This replay teaches that surviving drawdowns is a discipline, not a prediction. The 5.0% pullback forced participants to distinguish between temporary noise and structural breakdown—a distinction that separates skilled decision-makers from reactive ones. Navigating 2 critical decision points without panic cultivates the emotional equilibrium essential for long-term performance. Process discipline, risk awareness, and psychological steadiness emerge as the lasting lessons from this 2010s episode.