Seattle Historical Replay: 2006-10 to 2009-03
Replay 30 turbulent months from October 2006 to March 2009 as a Seattle housing market crash scenario with a 22.5% drawdown. Step through each monthly bar, make decisions at six checkpoints, and receive an AI coach review on your simulated choices.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2006-10 to 2009-03 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 22.5% with a 4.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −22.5%
- Max run-up
- +4.6%
- Largest single-month move
- −3.6%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Seattle housing market entered October 2006 at the tail end of a years-long boom that had reshaped the city's real estate landscape. Over the following 30 months, until March 2009, participants face a market caught in the crosscurrents of the emerging global financial crisis. The stakes were significant: rising defaults, tightening credit, and a fundamental reassessment of property values that would test even seasoned investors.
The data tells a stark story. A closing value of 183.79 at the start of the period gave way to 149.05 by the end, representing an 18.9% decline. The maximum drawdown reached 22.5%, with the largest single monthly move hitting 3.6%. Six decision points punctuated this turbulent stretch, two of them critical junctures where directional conviction mattered most. The 2000s decade had delivered its harshest lesson in real estate risk.
For decision training, this replay emphasizes process over prediction. A 22.5% drawdown tests any risk framework, while the 3.6% single-bar volatility demands psychological steadiness. Participants must navigate extended declines without letting loss aversion distort judgment, practicing the discipline of adhering to a method even when the market offers no reassurance. The goal is building decision muscle that survives prolonged adversity.