US 10-City Composite Historical Replay: 2006-12 to 2009-05
Replay the 2006-12 to 2009-05 US 10-city housing crash across 30 months as a -31.7% decline unfolds. Step through each market day, face 6 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2006-12 to 2009-05 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 31.8% with a 0.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −31.8%
- Max run-up
- +0.2%
- Largest single-month move
- −2.2%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The US housing market entered a structural turning point at the end of 2006. This replay places you inside the S&P/Case-Shiller 10-City Composite Index from December 2006 through May 2009, a 30-month window that captured one of the most consequential property crashes in modern financial history. As a decision trainee navigating the same data available at the time, you face 6 decision points—including 2 critical junctures—without knowing how the crisis will unfold.
What followed was a sustained, 31.7% decline from a close of 222.56 to 152.09. The maximum drawdown reached 31.8%, and the largest single monthly move measured 2.2%. Over 30 monthly bars, the index carved a relentless downward path that erased years of housing appreciation and reshaped the broader economy. The crash unfolded not in a single dramatic collapse but through a grinding series of monthly losses that tested the resolve of every participant.
This replay is designed to sharpen your process, not predict the future. Each decision point forces you to confront the gap between available information and market reality. You will confront risk management in an environment where losses accumulate gradually, and you will experience the psychology of holding positions through a drawdown that eventually reaches 31.8%. The goal is not to relitigate history, but to train habits of discipline and critical self-reflection that apply across any market era.