US 10-City Composite Historical Replay: 2006-10 to 2009-03
Replay 30 monthly bars of a US 10-city property index falling 30.7% from 2006-10 to 2009-03. Walk through authentic crisis decision points and receive an AI coach review, simulated for education only.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2006-10 to 2009-03 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 30.8% with a 0.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −30.8%
- Max run-up
- +0.2%
- Largest single-month move
- −2.2%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay centers on a US 10-city composite property index during one of the most disruptive periods in modern real estate history. From 2006-10 to 2009-03, the market was caught in the early tremors and full collapse of the subprime mortgage crisis, an era when the housing bubble that had defined the 2000s decade finally burst. Participants enter a scenario where six distinct decision points, including two marked as critical, require them to navigate a market environment defined by uncertainty, cascading losses, and the psychological weight of watching a 30-month sustained decline.
The numbers tell a stark story of deterioration. Over these 30 monthly bars, the index fell from 222.78 to 154.4, a decline of -30.7%. The maximum drawdown reached 30.8%, and even the largest single monthly move measured only 2.2%, illustrating a slow-motion unraveling rather than a sudden shock. The market did not fall in one dramatic crash but in a grinding series of monthly declines that tested the resolve of anyone holding positions or considering entry.
For decision training, this replay forces participants to confront the gap between knowing history and living through it in real time. The process lesson is clear: disciplined position sizing and predefined exit rules matter more than intuition when a trend extends for years. The risk lesson centers on drawdown tolerance, as surviving a -30.7% decline requires capital preservation before the market stabilizes. Psychologically, the scenario reveals how the absence of dramatic single-day drops can breed complacency until the cumulative loss becomes undeniable, making this replay a powerful exercise in maintaining discipline through sustained adversity.