Minneapolis Historical Replay: 2000-11 to 2003-04
Replay Minneapolis property data across 30 monthly bars from 2000-11 to 2003-04, watching prices climb 24.8% on the way to the bubble's peak. You step through each month, face six decision points, and receive AI coach feedback in a simulated training environment.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2000-11 to 2003-04 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 0.5% with a 24.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −0.5%
- Max run-up
- +24.8%
- Largest single-month move
- +1.8%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scenario places you inside the Minneapolis property market across 30 monthly bars spanning 2000-11 to 2003-04, a period that sits squarely within the broader US housing bubble formation. As prices marched steadily higher throughout the 2000s decade, six decision points were embedded in the timeline, two of which were marked as critical junctures where positioning choices carried heightened consequence. What was at stake was not merely directional conviction but the discipline to navigate a market that rewarded patience with seemingly effortless appreciation.
The numbers tell a story of sustained but measured optimism. Prices climbed from 111.99 to 139.73, delivering a cumulative return of 24.8% over the roughly two-and-a-half-year window. Remarkably, the journey featured a maximum drawdown of only 0.5%, meaning any pullback was shallow and quickly absorbed. The largest single-bar move of 1.8% underscores that this was not a volatile surge but a grinding advance, the kind that tests whether a participant can stay disciplined without the adrenaline of dramatic swings.
This replay surfaces several training lessons. Process matters most: in a low-drawdown, steady-uptrend environment, the temptation is to coast, but the six decision points demand active engagement with changing conditions. Risk calibration becomes counterintuitive when volatility is muted; a 0.5% max drawdown can breed complacency about tail exposures. Psychologically, markets that go up consistently without much friction can create false confidence. The two critical decision points serve as reminders that conviction must be earned through analysis, not assumed from price action alone.