Copper Historical Replay: 2016-07 to 2016-10
Replay 70 daily bars of copper from July to October 2016, watching the close slip from 2.26 to 2.14 with an 8.4% drawdown. Step through decision points day by day, get AI coach review, and learn from simulated capital training.
70 daily bars · 13 decision points · 2016-07 to 2016-10 · Commodities
Key facts
This window spans 99 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 8.4% and a 6.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −8.4%
- Max run-up
- +6.3%
- Duration
- 99 days
- Largest single-day move
- +2.4%
- Bars
- 70 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 13
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scene opens on copper in mid-2016, a period when base metals were navigating post-Brexit uncertainty and mixed signals from Chinese demand. Over 70 trading days from July 19 to October 26, the red metal offered a textbook case of sustained downward pressure. What started as a modest decline gathered momentum, testing the resolve of anyone managing exposure through the summer and into autumn.
The numbers tell a story of grinding attrition. Copper slipped from 2.26 to 2.14, a loss of -5.3% on closing prices, while the maximum drawdown reached 8.4%. The largest single trading day move of 2.4% was enough to trigger automated stops and shake discretionary traders out of positions. Thirteen decision points peppered the replay, with five deemed critical moments where directional conviction was most severely tested.
For trainees, this replay sharpens the discipline of holding through drawdown without second-guessing. The extended decline—rather than a single dramatic crash—teaches that position sizing and risk limits matter more than prediction. Psychological resilience is stretched not by one big loss but by the compounding weight of repeated small losses, exactly what the 8.4% drawdown delivered. Learners who navigate all 13 decision points emerge with a deeper intuition for when to hold, when to adjust, and when the thesis itself deserves re-examination.
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