Consumer Disc SPDR Downtrend Replay (2002-04-12 to 2002-05-10)
Replay the 2002 Consumer Discretionary SPDR correction across 42 daily bars, with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 6.0% and eight decision points to navigate. Step through each historical session, confront three critical forks, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
42 daily bars · 8 decision points · 2002-03 to 2002-05 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 58 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 6.0% and a 6.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −6.0%
- Max run-up
- +6.1%
- Duration
- 58 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.5%
- Bars
- 42 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 8
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the spring of 2002, the Consumer Discretionary SPDR faced a correction phase within a broader post-dot-com environment where investor confidence remained fragile. The replay covers the period from late March through late May 2002, placing participants in a market characterized by persistent uncertainty and shifting sentiment. Eight decision points are embedded throughout the scenario, including three critical forks where directional conviction would be tested. The stakes center on maintaining discipline under pressure while learning to distinguish temporary weakness from structural breakdown.
The 42-bar sequence shows the ETF closing at 14.66 from an opening of 15.05, translating to a -2.6% net decline over the interval. The maximum drawdown reached 6.0%, while the largest single-bar move measured 3.5%, illustrating how a modest overall correction can still contain sharp intraday reversals. Participants who treated every down day as a signal to capitulate would have exited prematurely, while those who ignored deteriorating breadth entirely would have missed early warning signs.
This replay sharpens decision training by forcing participants to confront the gap between perception and reality during corrections. Managing position size against a 6.0% drawdown ceiling teaches risk calibration, while the timing of each of the eight decision points reveals how pre-commitment and process discipline outperform reactive intuition. The psychological core—staying rational when headlines are bearish and charts are breaking—remains the lasting lesson this 2002 episode offers.