Seattle Historical Replay: 2016-06 to 2018-11
Seattle property values climbed 21.4% between June 2016 and November 2018 across thirty monthly bars. Replay this stretch day-by-day, navigate six decision points with two critical moments, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2016-06 to 2018-11 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 5.1% with a 27.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −5.1%
- Max run-up
- +27.8%
- Largest single-month move
- +2.8%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Seattle's residential property market entered a sustained growth phase between June 2016 and November 2018, a period captured across thirty monthly bars. Investors and analysts navigated rising valuations, evolving demand signals, and the psychological challenge of committing capital in an environment where conventional valuation metrics stretched beyond historical norms. The scenario recreates this stretch with six decision points, two of which represent critical junctures where market positioning could significantly diverge from peers.
The market ultimately delivered a 21.4% appreciation from a base of 202.55 to a close of 245.82. This trajectory was not monotonic—the largest single monthly move reached 2.8%, and the maximum drawdown measured 5.1%, representing meaningful intermediate setbacks that tested conviction. Participants replaying this period must navigate these fluctuations while managing the cognitive challenge of watching gains temporarily reverse.
This replay emphasizes disciplined process over outcome prediction. The 5.1% drawdown tests emotional resilience, while the 2.8% volatility spikes challenge conviction in an initial thesis. Six decision points, with two marked as critical, force learners to articulate and defend their reasoning under uncertainty, building documentation habits and risk calibration that separate thoughtful market participants from reactive ones.