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US Historical Archive

Archive files covering US: every file tells what happened and why it mattered, paired with playable scenarios built from authentic market data.

183 files

2025 · Commodities · US

2025 February–August: Tariff Escalation and the Commodity Drawdown — When Geopolitical Friction Flattened Net Returns

US commodities buckled under tariff escalation and geopolitical friction; 13 replays capture drawdowns of 10–36% with near-zero net returns.

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2025 · Forex · US

June–September 2025: The Dollar Softens, EM Currencies Catch a Breath

A 66-trading-day window when the US dollar reversed course, testing EM discipline across 36 currency pairs from ARS to ZMW.

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2025 · Forex · US

July–October 2025: Inflation Signals and a Dollar in Three Speeds

Three months of FX data reveal how diverging inflation expectations reshaped G10 and EM currency trajectories from mid-July through late October 2025.

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2025 · Stocks · US

Q4 2025–Q2 2026: A Global Equity Rally, Its Correction, and the Markets That Diverge

From October 2025, global equity markets entered a synchronized rally before correcting sharply in Q1 2026, with dramatic divergences across Gulf, Asian, and US indices.

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2024 · Forex · US

October 2024: The Dollar's Policy-Driven Surge — How One Political Inflection Reshaped 49 Currency Pairs

October 2024 triggered a dollar surge that rippled across 49 currency pairs in three months. From orderly CNY depreciation to disorderly RUB moves, the divergence tells the full story.

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2024 · Commodities · US

2024 Commodity Markets: The Fed's September Pivot and the Dollar Weakness That Divided 53 Scenarios

How the Federal Reserve's September 2024 rate cut split commodity markets — energy surges, agricultural boom, and industrial metals stagnation under a single policy shift.

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2024 · Commodities · BR

2024: Three Commodity Shocks and the Traders Who Rode Them

Precious metals shattered records, Brazil's drought reshaped soft commodities, and Middle East tensions roiled energy markets across 126 trading days of 2024.

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2024 · Commodities · US

November 2024: Trump's Election and the Policy-Driven Commodity Rout

Trump's November 2024 election win sent the dollar surging and commodities tumbling. Ferrous markets bore the brunt; the Coke replay tracked a 20.9% max drawdown.

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2024 · Commodities · US

November 2024: Tariff Shock and Dollar Surge Reshape the Entire US Commodity Complex

Policy headlines and USD volatility dominated 122 trading days from Nov 2024–May 2025, driving record drawdowns across 54 commodity scenarios.

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2024 · Stocks · US

2024 Consumer Disc SPDR: Riding the Sector Rotation Boom

An XLY boom replaying 150 trading days from June 2024 through January 2025, the Consumer Disc SPDR climbed 27.2% with a 12.7% drawdown and 11 decision points.

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2023 · Commodities · US

2023 February–May: Commodity Markets Caught in the SVB–Credit Suisse Storm

How commodity markets fractured when banking stress met industrial demand fears — 14 scenarios across metals, energy, and precious metals from February to May 2023.

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2023 · Forex · US

2023-05-09: EM Currency Storm — How Dollar Stratification Rewrote Risk Across 49 Pairs

US debt-ceiling brinkmanship May–Aug 2023 fragmented EM FX into distinct strata, from Nigeria's 66% naira collapse to Albania's measured 5.6% decline. Yen weakness followed.

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2023 · Commodities · US

November 2023–May 2024: Red Sea Tensions and the Global Commodity Boom

Geopolitical shock from Red Sea shipping disruptions drove extreme divergence across commodity markets, with cocoa soaring 150.7% and natural gas plunging 26.5% in six months of heightened volatility.

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2023 · Forex · US

2023 Spring: 66 Days That Shook Global Forex Through the SVB–Credit Suisse Crisis

From February 6 to May 7, 2023, the USD/CNY cross moved just 2.0% — yet 61 currency pairs endured extreme internal stress as the SVB and Credit Suisse crises reshaped global forex markets.

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2023 · Forex · US

March–July 2023: When SVB Shook the World — Currency Markets in the Banking Crisis

Silicon Valley Bank's March 2023 collapse triggered a global banking scare that rippled through 97 forex markets, from the Chinese yuan to the Turkish lira.

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2023 · Forex · US

November 2023: Red Sea Tensions Shook Global Forex — 79 Currency Pairs Under the Microscope

Geopolitical fault line meets currency markets: how Red Sea tensions from November 2023 reshaped 79 forex pairs across six months and 132 trading days.

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2022 · Forex · US

2022 Autumn: Three Forex Storms — Yen Intervention, UK Mini-Budget, Dollar Peak at 114

USD/JPY reversed after Japan's finance ministry intervened; GBP collapsed on the UK mini-budget crisis; DXY hit 114 in Q4 2022 — all within months.

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2022 · Commodities · RU

January–June 2022: The Russia-Ukraine War and the Commodity Rout

Geopolitical conflict shattered commodity markets in early 2022, sending energy and grain prices into historic volatility across 42 historical replay scenarios.

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2021 · Forex · US

February 2021: Commodity Shock Rattles Forex Markets

Six forex pairs in early 2021 reveal how commodity price volatility reshaped currency valuations across emerging and G10 markets.

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2021 · Forex · US

November 24, 2021: The Fed's Hawkish Pivot and How Emerging Market Currencies Fractured

The Fed signaled tighter policy on Nov. 24, 2021, sending the dollar higher across 42 EM currency pairs over 64 trading days.

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2021 · Property · US

November 2021: The Rate Shock That Split America's Housing Market

Rate hikes collided with pandemic-era property gains, splitting US cities into outperformers and laggards across a 30-month housing cycle.

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2021 · Commodities · US

Autumn 2021: Beijing's Commodity Crackdown and the Policy-Shock Era

Sept–Dec 2021: Beijing's regulatory crackdown reshaped commodity markets, triggering outsized drawdowns across metals, energy, and agriculture.

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2021 · Commodities · US

Spring 2021: The Commodity Supercycle That Punished Discipline and Rewarded Conviction

When commodity prices surged in early 2021, the real test was not direction but survival through drawdowns that dwarfed the final returns.

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2021 · Commodities · US

2021 Q1: The Commodity Shock That Decoupled Headlines from Volatility

In early 2021, commodities across sectors surged as post-pandemic demand collided with supply disruptions, creating a shock that rewarded direction but punished discipline-free positioning.

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2021 · Property · US

February 2021: When Two Property Markets Began to Diverge

February 2021 marked a turning point as US pandemic housing booms and China's tightening crackdown set divergent 30-month trajectories through 2023.

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2021 · Property · US

June 2021: The Fed's U-Turn and the Housing Market's First Real Test

When monetary stimulus began unwinding in mid-2021, US residential property faced its first major stress test in years as the Federal Reserve signaled tighter policy ahead.

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2020 · Forex · US

November 17, 2020: The Dollar Begins Its Post-Pandemic Turn — A Cluster of 47 Forex Replays

The dollar opened at 104.541 on November 17, 2020. Over the next six months, it weakened against every one of 47 emerging and G10 currency pairs, but the journey was far from smooth.

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2020 · Commodities · US

January–June 2020: COVID-19 Reshapes Global Commodity Markets

Pandemic uncertainty sent commodity volatility to extremes—energy collapsed while metals and grains diverged, testing risk discipline across 86 trading days.

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2020 · Commodities · US

2020: The Commodity Pandemic — Crash, Rebound, and the Volatility That Fooled Most

2020 commodities swung from historic crash to explosive rebound. RBOB surged 86.8%, silver +83.7% — but drawdowns of 40%+ tested survival, not just direction.

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2020 · Commodities · US

2020 August–December: Commodity Markets Navigate Pandemic Volatility — A Cross-Section Analysis

84 trading days across 27 commodity markets exposed how pandemic uncertainty reshaped industrial and agricultural pricing dynamics differently, rewarding process over prediction.

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2020 · Property · US

October 2020: US Property Boom Begins, Eleven-City Housing Replay (2020–2023)

The US housing market entered an extraordinary boom in late 2020, driven by pandemic-era demand shifts. This replay traces the 2020-10 to 2023-03 window across 11 cities.

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2020 · Property · US

February 2020–August 2022: How Record-Low Rates and Remote Work Reshaped American Housing

US urban housing surged 2020–2022, powered by pandemic-era low rates and shifting demand. 22 city-level replays capture the boom's mechanics.

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2020 · Property · US

November 2020–April 2023: The U.S. Property Boom That Defied Every Prediction

How rock-bottom interest rates ignited the most sustained U.S. residential property surge in memory—and what cities diverged when the dust settled.

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2020 · Forex · US

Summer 2020: The Dollar Retreat and 101 Currency Markets

The mid-2020 global risk-asset rebound drove dollar weakness across 101 currency pairs, with drawdowns ranging from 0.2% to 10.1%.

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2020 · Forex · US

2020 Q4: The Dollar's Broad Retreat — 46 Currency Pairs in the Pandemic Era FX Shift

In late 2020 the US dollar weakened across 46 currency pairs over 84 trading days, as pandemic uncertainty met extraordinary monetary policy divergence.

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2019 · Forex · US

August 5, 2019: RMB Breaks 7 — the Chain Reaction That Shook EM Forex

August 5, 2019 — the USD/CNY pair crosses 7 for the first time in years, igniting a shockwave across emerging-market currencies and G10 forex. 2019, forex, US and CN.

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2019 · Property · US

2019: The Great Property Divergence — US Boom vs. China Cooling

July 2019 began two parallel property stories: Phoenix up 55.8%, Shanghai down 48.5% max drawdown. A 30-month divergence across 14 markets.

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2019 · Commodities · US

November 2019 – May 2020: How a Pandemic Shocked Global Commodity Markets

Tracing the commodity shockwave from pre-pandemic calm to pandemic disruption across 24 markets spanning energy, metals, agriculture, and softs over six months.

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2019 · Commodities · US

May 2019: Gold Breaks $1300, the Precious Metals Complex Follows

Gold's $1300 breach in May 2019 triggered a sustained rally, testing trend-following discipline across the precious metals complex over 64 trading days.

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2018 · Commodities · US

2018-02 to 2018-08: Policy Uncertainty and the Dollar Surge Reshape Global Commodity Markets

Six months of policy-driven commodity turbulence as USD strength and trade uncertainty created divergent outcomes across ferrous metals, energy, and agricultural markets.

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2018 · Commodities · US

October 2018: The Commodity Rout That Followed Peak Oil

Energy markets peaked in October 2018 then entered a sustained correction as demand fears, supply glut, and a Federal Reserve pivot reshaped commodity valuations across 32 scenarios.

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2018 · Property · US

March 2018: The Fed's Rate Hike Cycle and Global Property Markets Under Pressure

The Federal Reserve's March 2018 rate-hike launch tested US and China property markets over 30 months—some cities absorbed rising rates, others buckled.

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2018 · Commodities · US

Summer 2018: The Commodity Crash — Base Metals, Trade War, and the Emerging Market Stress Test

Copper crashed 16.1%, cocoa 20.3%, coffee 19.9% as US-China trade tensions and EM currency crises reshaped global commodity markets across summer 2018.

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2018 · Property · US

2018–2021: The Great Property Divergence — US Resilience vs. Chinese Urban Cooling

Two property universes, one pandemic. US markets climbed while Chinese cities collapsed — a divergence rooted in policy, leverage, and information asymmetry.

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2018 · Forex · JP

October 23, 2018: USD/CNY Enters the Trade-War Vortex, Reshaping Emerging-Market Forex

When USD/CNY broke key levels in late 2018, trade-war fears and a Fed pivot sent EM currencies into a four-month tailspin across 104 market slices.

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2017 · Commodities · US

November 2017 – May 2018: Dollar Weakness, Inflation Dreams, and the Commodity Market's Hard Lesson

Commodity markets in late 2017 embraced a dollar-weakness thesis, but execution proved brutal — 27 instruments reveals how direction and process diverge under pressure.

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2017 · Property · US

2017 US-China City Property Boom: Low Volatility, High Discipline

2017–2019 US and China urban property markets delivered steady gains with compressed volatility—a training ground for disciplined decision-making under deceptive calm.

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2016 · Commodities · US

November 8, 2016: Trump's Election Unleashed Policy-Driven Volatility Across Global Commodities

Trump's November 2016 victory sent commodity markets into a policy-driven turmoil, with ferrous metals and energies especially volatile across 114 trading days through March 2017.

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2016 · Property · US

2016: How Two Property Markets Learned the Same Low-Volatility Lesson

China tier-1 and US coastal property surged into sustained low-volatility advances in 2016, proving that quiet markets and safe markets are not the same thing.

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2016 · Property · US

Summer 2016: Why Identical Macro Conditions Produced 21.4% Gains in Seattle and 9.7% Gains in New York

US city housing entered mid-2016 on a synchronized recovery—but within 30 months, Seattle had surged 21.4% while New York gained only 9.7%. Same index, divergent cities, the same post-crisis decade.

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2015 · Commodities · US

December 16, 2015: The Fed's Rate Hike and the Global Commodity Rout

When the Federal Reserve raised rates for the first time in seven years, commodity markets felt it immediately. Dollar strength became the fuse for a cross-sector crisis that hit energy hardest.

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2015 · Forex · US

December 2015: The Federal Reserve Hikes—and Emerging-Market Currencies Fracture

When the Fed finally lifted rates in December 2015, emerging-market forex had already begun fracturing. A forensic look at how policy divergence triggered currency crises across the developing world.

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2015 · Property · US

2015–2017: When Property Markets Climbed Without Falling

A deep dive into the 2010s property boom, tracing US and China city indices through a 30-month climb with near-zero drawdowns and the training lessons buried inside that calm.

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2015 · Property · US

2015-12: The Fed's First Post-Crisis Hike and the Calm That Followed in US Property

In December 2015 the Federal Reserve raised rates for the first time in nearly a decade, testing US property markets already in multi-year recovery. The reaction was remarkably muted.

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2015 · Property · US

Summer 2015: The Low-Volatility Bull — How Eleven US Property Markets Taught Traders to Trust the Trend

July 2015–December 2017: US residential property entered a sustained advance with minimal turbulence across eleven city indices. How did low volatility reshape decision habits?

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2014 · Commodities · US

August 2014–January 2015: Dollar Surge and Policy Divergence Fracture Global Commodities

How a dollar surge in October 2014, driven by Fed policy divergence, triggered a broad commodities collapse across energy, metals, and agriculture, with crude oil max drawdown reaching 54.9%.

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2014 · Forex · US

2014: The Dollar's Broad Surge and the EM Forex Reckoning

2014: Dollar's surge reshaped global currency markets. Fed-ECB divergence drove EM/G10 FX across two waves, July–Jan.

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2014 · Forex · US

June 8, 2014: The Dollar's Tentative Recovery and the FX Divide it Exposed

On June 8, 2014 the dollar surged against most currencies, revealing the chasm between managed rates and free-floating EM volatility — a 66-day window for decision training.

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2014 · Commodities · US

Mid-2014: Energy Markets Peak Near $115, Then Turn — A 64-Day Replay

Energy markets peaked near $115 in early 2014 before turning lower. A 64-trading-day replay across Brent, WTI, natural gas, and refined products reveals why process matters more than direction.

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2014 · Property · US

September 2014: The Steady Climb — US Housing Enters Its Low-Volatility Recovery Phase

In September 2014, eleven US property markets began a 30-month replay of the post-crisis rebound, delivering steady gains with drawdowns under 2%.

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2013 · Commodities · US

Late 2013 to Spring 2014: Commodity Markets at the Crossroads of Dollar Strength

USD strength reshaped commodity markets — energy and metals fell while agriculture rallied across 26 instruments over six months.

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2013 · Commodities · US

2013 Summer: The Fed's Taper Talk and 72 Days Across Commodity Markets

Ben Bernanke's June 2013 taper hint shattered three months of commodity calm, sending corn into a 30.6% collapse while cocoa surged 14.6%.

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2012 · Property · BG

October 2012: Seven National Property Markets Begin a Coordinated Ascent

Seven national property indices began climbing together in October 2012, riding low rates and policy support through a rare sustained bull phase with minimal drawdowns.

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2012 · Property · US

December 2012: The Turning Point When US Housing Found Its Footing After Crisis

US housing's post-crisis turning point: how a shattered market found its footing from late 2012. Property boom, recovery dynamics.

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2012 · Commodities · US

Summer 2012: Drought and ECB OMT — The Dual Shock That Split Commodity Markets

June 2012 drought split US commodity markets while ECB's September OMT announcement reshaped global risk sentiment, creating divergent outcomes across grains, softs, and metals.

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2012 · Stocks · US

2012 Global Equity Correction: From Summer Drawdown to Divergent Recovery

Global equities entered summer 2012 with a broad correction, then bifurcated sharply — US and Nordic markets recovered while emerging Asia and Europe diverged through year-end.

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2012 · Property · US

January 2012: U.S. Housing Emerges into Recovery — Twelve Cities, One Question

January 2012: U.S. housing exits crisis into a recovery boom, testing whether early price gains signal sustainable rebound across twelve city-level markets.

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2011 · Commodities · EU

2011 Summer: The Commodity Rout — US Downgrade, Euro Contagion, and 37 Scenarios of Market Stress

In August 2011, S&P downgraded US sovereign credit for the first time. A six-month commodity rout followed across energy, metals, and agriculture—37 decision scenarios from June to January.

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2011 · Property · US

2011 US Property: The Tentative Recovery That Rewrote City Economies

Spring 2011 — US housing emerged from its worst collapse in decades. Twelve city indices and two national benchmarks entered a fragile rebound that tested every investor's conviction.

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2011 · Forex · US

2011 Summer: The US Credit Downgrade and Global Forex Stress Test

August 2011's unprecedented US sovereign credit downgrade sent shockwaves through forex markets, creating a 122-trading-day stress test across emerging and G10 currency pairs from June to December.

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2010 · Commodities · US

Late 2010: The QE2 Commodity Surge — How Federal Reserve Policy Reshaped Global Markets

On October 7, 2010, US commodity markets ignited as QE2 expectations flooded markets with liquidity, sending industrial metals, energy, and agriculture into a synchronized boom across 22 markets.

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2010 · Property · US

2010: Two Property Markets, Two Diverging Fates — US Bottoming, China Overheating

US housing emerged from subprime wreckage seeking a floor while China's property boom faced its first major regulatory crackdown — a tale of two markets at opposite phases of the cycle.

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2010 · Property · US

October 2010: Divergent Recovery — US Housing Markets Navigate Fragile Post-Crisis Terrain

Sixteen city and national property markets from October 2010 reveal divergent recovery paths after the housing crash — some cities stabilizing, others still falling.

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2009 · Commodities · US

2009 Commodities: Metals Rebound from Crisis Lows

In mid-2009, copper surged 26.4% and silver 39.1% as metals recovery tested every trader's conviction and discipline across 2009.

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2009 · Forex · US

2009 Q2: Dollar Rotation and the Drawdown Gap — How a Broad EM Forex Boom Tested Process Over Prediction

April–July 2009: the dollar retreated broadly against EM currencies as risk appetite returned, but max drawdowns of 10–17% on 4–14% realized moves tested every trader's discipline.

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2009 · Stocks · US

2009: The Post-Crisis Recovery — Global Equities Rebound Through Hidden Volatility

How global equity markets climbed from the 2008 abyss in 2009 — and what the gap between headline gains and internal drawdowns revealed for traders who lived through each session.

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2009 · Property · US

2009 Property Markets: The Great Divergence After the Subprime Crash

Spring 2009 found global property markets at a crossroads—US cities still searching for a bottom after the subprime collapse, while Canada and China embarked on divergent recovery paths.

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2009 · Commodities · US

2009-11-17: Soft Commodities Diverge — A Post-Crisis Divergence Study

Six commodities, same six months: cotton +19%, sugar -36.5%, orange juice +27.2%. The divergence reveals why disciplined drawdown management matters more than directional calls.

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2009 · Commodities · US

February 2009: The Global Commodities Rebound — When Risk Assets Surged From Crisis Lows

February 2009: commodities began a broad rebound from crisis lows, with WTI crude soaring 65% and copper gaining 34% — yet the process demanded navigating 13-15% drawdowns.

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2009 · Forex · US

February–May 2009: The Global Forex Boom That Followed the Financial Crisis

Crisis aftermath turned bullish—60 forex pairs rallied as risk appetite returned amid QE1 and fiscal stimulus. A decision-training archive for traders.

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2009 · Property · BG

July 2009: Four National Property Replays and the Divergent Paths of Post-Crisis Housing Markets

Four national property replays started July 2009 — Norway gained 29.9%, Hungary 23.0%, the US 14.9%, while Bulgaria fell 10.1% by October 2016.

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2009 · Property · US

2009-11 to 2012-04: The Second Leg — US Housing Markets Grind Lower

Thirty months after the subprime crash, US housing entered a grinding bottoming phase with cities diverging sharply — Atlanta lost 22.7% while Boston fell only 4.4%.

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2008 · Forex · US

2008-07-29: The Global Forex Crisis — When Emerging-Market Currencies Met the Liquidity Abyss

Lehman collapse triggered a global dollar scramble that crushed EM currencies across six months. AUD/JPY dropped 41%, USD/UAH surged 16.2% in a single session.

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2008 · Forex · US

2008-10-07: How Emerging-Market FX Markets Fractured After Lehman

When Lehman fell, capital fled EM currencies indiscriminately. Across 108 pairs, the real story lived in the gap between final prices and the drawdowns endured getting there.

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2008 · Property · US

December 2008: U.S. Housing Market in the Aftermath — 11 Cities, Divergent Fates

Thirty months after the global financial crisis erupted, U.S. housing continued its grinding unwinding across 11 cities — Phoenix down 19%, San Francisco up 3.3%.

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2008 · Forex · US

February–July 2008: Bear Stearns and the First Wave of Global FX Stress

How Bear Stearns' March 2008 collapse exposed structural fault lines across 61 currency pairs, creating divergent crises in EM and G10 FX markets.

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2008 · Commodities · US

2008: The Commodity Supercycle Unravels — When Everything That Rose Together Fell Together

From July 2008 peaks to January 2009 troughs, commodity markets experienced historic synchronized collapse as the global financial system seized up.

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2008 · Stocks · US

2008: The Global Equity Correction and Crash — How Subprime Became a Systemic Crisis

During 2008, global equities corrected then crashed as subprime contagion spread from US housing to banks, commodities, and emerging markets worldwide.

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2008 · Property · US

2008: The U.S. Housing Collapse — When the Air Came Out of the American Dream

January 2008 found U.S. housing at a precipice. What followed reshaped finance, policy, and the American economy for a generation.

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2008 · Property · US

2008 U.S. Housing: The Subprime Cascade and the Multi-Year Bottom

When the U.S. property market turned in 2008, national prices entered a multi-year contraction that tested the entire global financial structure.

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2008 · Property · US

August 2008: The U.S. Housing Crash and the Anatomy of a Contagion

The summer of 2008 marked the full eruption of the U.S. subprime crisis as property indices across American cities began a descent that would reshape financial markets globally for years to come.

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2008 · Property · CA

2008 Property Markets: Navigating Post-Crisis Recovery in Canada and the United States

July 2008 to October 2015 — CA and US residential property markets through the post-crisis recovery era, 30 monthly bars across two nations with diverging trajectories.

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2007 · Forex · US

July–October 2007: Subprime Tremors Move Through 52 Forex Pairs

When US mortgage stress metastasized into global forex volatility — a 52-pair window revealing how contagion reshaped currency markets.

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2007 · Forex · US

August–November 2007: Subprime Shock Ripples Through 62 Emerging-Market Currency Pairs

When BNP Paribas froze funds on August 9, 2007, few anticipated the three-month cascade through emerging FX. This archive reconstructs the contagion from USD/UGX to USD/ZAR across 66 trading days.

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2007 · Property · US

2007 October: The US Housing Crash and Global Property Crisis — Thirty Months That Rewrote Risk

Oct 2007–Mar 2010: US housing indices fell continuously; Phoenix recorded a 48.4% max drawdown, with contagion spreading to Bulgaria.

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2007 · Commodities · US

Late 2007 Commodity Supercycle: The Inflation Wave That Swept Every Market

How soft commodities, energy, grains and precious metals converged in late 2007 into a commodity inflation wave that tested every trader's risk discipline — before the 2008 crisis reshaped everything.

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2007 · Property · CA

2007 Summer: Two Housing Markets, Two Trajectories

In summer 2007, Canadian and US property markets stood at similar valuations—then diverged sharply through the crisis years. How?

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2007 · Commodities · US

July 2007: Copper's Descent and the Great Commodity Fragmentation

July 2007: copper fell 14.8% as live cattle surged 49.6% and wheat gained 51.2%, revealing commodity markets fragmenting under subprime stress.

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2006 · Commodities · US

October 2006: Platinum, Energy, and the Early Pulse of a Commodity Surge

In October 2006, platinum futures began a 44-session surge that opened a commodities window running through May 2007, testing traders across energy, metals, and grains.

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2006 · Property · CA

2006-07: Two Housing Markets, One Divergence

When two housing markets diverged from the same starting gate in mid-2006—one steadier, one in structural retreat through the post-crisis years.

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