BG Historical Archive
Archive files covering BG: every file tells what happened and why it mattered, paired with playable scenarios built from authentic market data.
12 files
2012 · Property · BG
October 2012: Seven National Property Markets Begin a Coordinated Ascent
Seven national property indices began climbing together in October 2012, riding low rates and policy support through a rare sustained bull phase with minimal drawdowns.
Read the file →2010 · Property · US
October 2010: Divergent Recovery — US Housing Markets Navigate Fragile Post-Crisis Terrain
Sixteen city and national property markets from October 2010 reveal divergent recovery paths after the housing crash — some cities stabilizing, others still falling.
Read the file →2009 · Property · BG
July 2009: Four National Property Replays and the Divergent Paths of Post-Crisis Housing Markets
Four national property replays started July 2009 — Norway gained 29.9%, Hungary 23.0%, the US 14.9%, while Bulgaria fell 10.1% by October 2016.
Read the file →2008 · Property · BG
2008 Property Markets: How Identical Shocks Produced Opposite Outcomes
Six national property indices reveal how the 2008 crisis hit markets differently—China's stimulus versus Bulgaria's 35.6% loss.
Read the file →2007 · Property · US
2007 October: The US Housing Crash and Global Property Crisis — Thirty Months That Rewrote Risk
Oct 2007–Mar 2010: US housing indices fell continuously; Phoenix recorded a 48.4% max drawdown, with contagion spreading to Bulgaria.
Read the file →2006 · Property · US
October 2006: US City Housing Indices Peak — The Start of a Property Collapse That Reshaped Global Finance
In October 2006, the US 10-city composite housing index closed at 222.78. Over the next 30 months, it would fall 30.7% as the subprime crisis unfolded.
Read the file →2005 · Property · BG
April 2005: National Eight Articles and the Global Property Market Divide
China's 2005 property tightening set off a decade-long experiment in policy-driven cooling—against a backdrop of eight markets that would diverge wildly as the global credit crisis approached.
Read the file →2005 · Property · BG
2005: Two Property Markets, One Shock, Divergent Collapse
In 2005, two overheating property markets set the stage for the 2008 crisis. Bulgaria's drawdown reached 45.3%, the UK's 25.8%.
Read the file →2004 · Property · US
2004: US Housing Bubble — The Low-Volatility Illusion
17 US housing replays, 2004–2011: low-volatility boom masked fragility; subprime expansion ended in crisis.
Read the file →2003 · Property · US
2003–2005: The Low-Volatility Paradox — How Zero Drawdowns Rewired American Housing Risk
Thirty months of unbroken US housing appreciation, with max drawdowns near zero across thirteen markets, created a risk calculus that unraveled only years later.
Read the file →2003 · Property · US
2003: The Zero-Drawdown Housing Market and the Psychology of Stability
June 2003: the Fed had cut rates, housing was climbing, and American cities entered a 30-month run with nearly zero drawdowns. What could go wrong?
Read the file →1998 · Property · BG
1998: Three Markets, Three Transitions — Property Markets in China, Bulgaria, and Norway
Three nations launched parallel property experiments in 1998: China's housing commercialization, Bulgaria's post-communist stabilization, and Norway's oil-fueled ascent.
Read the file →