Consumer Disc SPDR Uptrend Replay (2018-04-02 to 2018-09-20)
Replay a 150-bar Consumer Discretionary SPDR uptrend from 2018-03-09 to 2018-10-10 with an 8.0% max drawdown. You step through each daily decision, face 11 branching points, and receive an AI coach review of every simulated choice.
150 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2018-03 to 2018-10 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 215 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 8.0% and a 19.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −8.0%
- Max run-up
- +19.7%
- Duration
- 215 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.4%
- Bars
- 150 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) tracks consumer spending behavior and serves as a proxy for economic confidence in the 2010s. This replay spans 150 daily bars from 2018-03-09 to 2018-10-10, a period when escalating trade tensions and shifting Fed expectations created an environment of heightened uncertainty. Participants entering this scenario must navigate an uptrend that offered modest eventual rewards while demanding resilience through intermediate turbulence.
The position advanced from 53.12 to 54.21, delivering a 2.1% return over the full data span. Yet this benign headline figure concealed meaningful volatility: an 8.0% max drawdown tested conviction, while a largest single-bar move of 3.4% punished inattentive position management. The trend rewarded patience but extracted a psychological toll during each sharp pullback, creating repeated moments where discipline faced genuine examination.
This scenario sharpens risk calibration under trend-following conditions. Participants confront 11 decision points—4 deemed critical—requiring deliberate choices on entries, exits, and adjustments. The experience teaches that managing an 8.0% drawdown without abandoning a sound process distinguishes skilled execution from reactive behavior. Success here depends less on forecasting direction and more on maintaining disciplined process through periods when the market offers no easy answers.