Consumer Disc SPDR Uptrend Replay (2014-04-11 to 2014-09-05)
Replay 150 daily bars of the Consumer Discretionary SPDR from March to October 2014, a market-neutral window with a 7.6% max drawdown. Walk through 11 decision points day-by-day, receive an AI coach review, and sharpen your judgment in a simulated, educational setting.
150 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2014-03 to 2014-10 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 215 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.6% and a 11.3% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −7.6%
- Max run-up
- +11.3%
- Duration
- 215 days
- Largest single-day move
- −2.5%
- Bars
- 150 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) in early 2014 presented traders with a classic sideways market challenge. Over 150 trading days from March 7 to October 8, 2014, the ETF essentially went nowhere—closing at 33.31 versus 33.69 at the start, a mere -1.1% change. Beneath the flat headline number lay a market that tested discipline and risk management, with a 7.6% max drawdown revealing hidden volatility and stress periods that most trend-following strategies would have struggled to navigate.
The price action during this window offered periodic spikes of momentum—a largest single-bar move of 2.5%—against a backdrop of overall stagnation. Eleven decision points were embedded across the replay, four deemed critical, where directional assumptions faced immediate validation or rejection. For traders replaying this scenario, every entry point became an exercise in managing exposure when the market refused to confirm a persistent trend.
This replay sharpens judgment on several fronts. First, it exposes the psychological temptation to force directional trades in range-bound conditions. Second, it demands strict position sizing to survive the 7.6% equity curve trough without crystallizing losses. Third, it trains the ability to identify genuine breakouts versus noise-driven spikes in the absence of a clear trend. The educational value lies in learning when patience outperforms action.