Health Care Sel SPDR Uptrend Replay (2014-12-16 to 2015-07-20)
Replay seven months of XLV's steady 12.3% climb through 11 decision points, with a 4.3% drawdown testing your risk calls. Walk each bar, weigh the critical forks, and let the AI coach review your simulated trades.
150 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2014-12 to 2015-07 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 220 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 4.3% and a 14.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −4.3%
- Max run-up
- +14.6%
- Duration
- 220 days
- Largest single-day move
- +2.7%
- Bars
- 150 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) entered December 2014 as a steady performer in a maturing bull market. Over the following seven months through mid-July 2015, the ETF navigated a period where health-care sector leadership was being reshaped by regulatory dynamics and earnings volatility. For traders, this scenario posed the fundamental challenge of riding a clear structural uptrend while managing exposure to sector-specific events that could swiftly alter sentiment.
XLV rose from 68.78 to 77.22, delivering a 12.3% return across 150 daily bars. The journey was not linear: the fund encountered a 4.3% maximum drawdown and weathered individual sessions with moves as large as 2.7%. Eleven decision points punctuated this advance, with four standing as critical forks where directional conviction faced real tests. Participants in the replay confronted these inflection moments as they unfolded, not knowing how the next bar would resolve.
This replay strips away the comfort of hindsight to train decision-making under genuine uncertainty. A 12.3% gain looks straightforward in retrospect, but living through each bar required navigating drawdowns, resisting the impulse to overtrade during volatility spikes, and deciding how to size positions at critical junctures. The four critical decision points demand that participants articulate their process before outcomes are known. The value lies not in achieving the perfect trade but in experiencing how sound judgment and emotional discipline interact when the next bar is genuinely uncertain.