Energy Sel SPDR Uptrend Replay (2015-01-15 to 2015-02-17)
Replay a 44-day US energy ETF window spanning 2014-12-29 to 2015-03-03 with a 9.4% drawdown and 4.1% biggest swing. You step through daily bars, face 8 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
44 daily bars · 8 decision points · 2014-12 to 2015-03 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 64 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 9.4% and a 13.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −9.4%
- Max run-up
- +13.0%
- Duration
- 64 days
- Largest single-day move
- −4.1%
- Bars
- 44 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 8
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) provides a focused window into U.S. energy equities during a period of sharp recalibration. The replay covers 44 daily bars from late December 2014 through early March 2015, a stretch when oil prices were crashing and investor sentiment toward the sector was swinging between fear and fragile hope. Participants enter this simulation with no foreknowledge of what unfolds, facing decisions as price action develops bar by bar.
Over the full data span, XLE drifted from a closing price of 40.2 down to 39.38, a modest net decline of -2.0%. Beneath that headline figure lay meaningful turbulence: a maximum drawdown of 9.4% tested positions at their worst, while the largest single trading day moved 4.1%. Eight decision points are embedded in the sequence, three flagged as critical moments where directional conviction was most severely challenged. The market did not collapse, but it did not recover cleanly either, creating a environment where entry timing and position sizing determined whether participants survived the chop.
For decision training, this scenario excels at exposing how drawdown fear distorts judgment. A 9.4% peak-to-trough decline feels catastrophic in real time even when the final outcome is only -2.0%. The 4.1% single-bar swings force participants to distinguish between noise and signal, while the three critical junctures demand clarity about whether weakness represents a structural shift or a temporary dislocation. Mastering this replay means learning to hold process steady when the market offers every reason to panic, and recognizing that survival in volatile energy equities often requires nothing more elaborate than refusing to abandon a sound framework at the worst moment.