S&P 600 SmallCap Uptrend Replay (2018-10-24 to 2018-11-07)
Replay 30 daily bars of an S&P 600 SmallCap uptrend that still shed 6.0% from 81.2 to 76.3. Step through each session, face 7 decision points, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
30 daily bars · 7 decision points · 2018-10 to 2018-11 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 41 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.6% and a 7.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −7.6%
- Max run-up
- +7.8%
- Duration
- 41 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.5%
- Bars
- 30 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 7
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The S&P 600 SmallCap index in the autumn of 2018 offered traders a deceptive scenario where surface momentum concealed deeper vulnerability. This replay spans 30 daily bars from October 10 to November 20, 2018, a period when small-cap stocks faced crosscurrents from shifting sentiment and macroeconomic uncertainty. Participants enter a market that appears to be trending upward, yet the underlying data tells a more cautionary tale.
The index closed the period at 76.3 from an opening of 81.2, representing a -6.0% decline despite the uptrend framing. The maximum drawdown reached 7.6% at its worst, while the largest single-bar move of 3.5% created moments of apparent strength that could easily mislead position sizing and risk assumptions. Seven decision points were embedded throughout, three of which proved critical for participants managing exposure through the volatility.
This replay teaches that apparent trends require rigorous verification against underlying data. The disconnect between the uptrend narrative and the -6.0% outcome challenges traders to question their assumptions about momentum and confirmation bias. Managing risk through a 7.6% drawdown requires disciplined position sizing, while the 3.5% single-bar swings test emotional responses to sudden volatility. The educational value lies in recognizing that process discipline and probabilistic thinking protect capital when surface patterns diverge from actual price action.