Russell 2000 Uptrend Replay (2012-11-15 to 2013-03-14)
Replay the Russell 2000 from 839.12 to 939.85 across 150 daily bars and feel a small-cap uptrend unfold. Step through each session, decide at the 11 decision points, and let the AI coach review your simulated judgment.
150 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2012-09 to 2013-05 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 219 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 8.9% and a 23.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −8.9%
- Max run-up
- +23.9%
- Duration
- 219 days
- Largest single-day move
- −3.8%
- Bars
- 150 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Russell 2000, Wall Street's primary gauge of small-cap health, entered September 2012 at a pivotal moment. The index had been grinding sideways through the post-crisis recovery, and investors were beginning to sense that the tide might be turning for risk assets. This 150-bar journey from late September 2012 through early May 2013 captures a genuine uptrend in the small-cap space, with 11 decision points embedded within the historical tape—four of them critical junctions where the trajectory could have shifted.
The index closed the period at 939.85, up 12.0% from its starting level of 839.12. Yet the ride was far from linear. A max drawdown of 8.9% tested the resolve of anyone holding positions through the advance. The largest single-bar move of 3.8% reminded participants that small-cap momentum can shift abruptly, even within a broader bullish context. These figures anchor the scenario in authentic market behavior rather than idealized returns.
For decision training, this replay captures the psychological tension of trend following. The 11 decision points—including four critical ones—force participants to confront when to hold, when to add, and when to reduce exposure in an environment where a single session can deliver outsized movement. The 8.9% drawdown within an overall 12.0% gain illustrates why disciplined risk management matters more than directional accuracy. Participants learn to separate process from outcome, understanding that the same price path could have been navigated with better or worse judgment at each turning point.
Featured in the archive