PSI 20 Uptrend Replay (2016-11-14 to 2017-01-04)
Replay a PSI 20 swing where 72 daily bars ended down 1.5% despite a powerful 7.8% drawdown mid-trend. Step through each session, face 11 decision points, and receive AI coach feedback in a simulated educational environment.
72 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2016-10 to 2017-01 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 101 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 7.8% and a 8.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −7.8%
- Max run-up
- +8.5%
- Duration
- 101 days
- Largest single-day move
- +1.9%
- Bars
- 72 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The PSI 20, Portugal's benchmark equity index, entered this replay window in October 2016 with European markets still adjusting to post-Brexit uncertainty and ECB stimulus dynamics. Over the next 72 trading sessions stretching through January 2017, the index presented a complex uptrend scenario where apparent strength masked deeper structural challenges. For traders navigating this period, the question was whether the upward momentum would sustain or collapse under its own internal pressures.
The data reveals a deceptive finish: the index closed at 4609.78, down 1.5% from its opening level of 4678.43. Yet within that modest net decline lay a turbulent 7.8% maximum drawdown and a largest single-bar move of 1.9%, underscoring the volatility that defined the journey. Participants encountered 11 decision points, 4 deemed critical moments where directional conviction would be tested. The gap between the labeled "uptrend" scenario and the negative net return illustrates how labels can mislead without understanding the texture of price action.
This replay sharpens decision-training by confronting participants with the gap between market narrative and statistical reality. The challenge is to maintain disciplined process when a rally theme contradicts the underlying price trajectory, managing risk through the 7.8% drawdown without capitulating to emotional decisions at critical junctures. It trains the psychological resilience required to evaluate scenarios on their actual data rather than their descriptive labels, a crucial skill for any market practitioner.