China National (Real Estate Climate Index, 1998+) Historical Replay: 2019-05 to 2021-10
Replay 30 monthly bars of China's national property index from May 2019, navigating a 3.8% drawdown through the early pandemic shock. You make choices at 6 decision points, including 2 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your reasoning. Simulated capital, educational only.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2019-05 to 2021-10 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 3.8% with a 4.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −3.8%
- Max run-up
- +4.1%
- Largest single-month move
- −2.9%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
China's national property climate index tracks the pulse of the world's largest real estate market. In this replay you navigate 30 monthly bars from May 2019 through October 2021, a period bookended by pre-pandemic stability and the unprecedented uncertainty of COVID-19. Six decision points await, two of them critical inflection moments where a wrong call compounds losses and a right read can limit damage. This is a training ground for thinking clearly when headlines dominate and volatility spikes. Simulated capital keeps stakes educational while the historical scenario stays authentic.
The index closed the period at 100.57, a mere -0.5% decline from the 101.06 opening level — a surprisingly flat outcome given the turbulence in between. The journey included a maximum drawdown of 3.8%, a deep valley that tested conviction, and a largest single-bar move of 2.9% that would have rattled anyone watching headlines rather than price action. The modest net result masks a volatile interior: fear-driven selling, recovery optimism, and the slow grind back toward equilibrium that defined those thirty months.
The episode teaches that process beats prediction. Navigating a 3.8% drawdown without panic requires pre-defined risk thresholds and the discipline to stick to them when emotions run hot. The 2.9% single-bar shock reminds us that market structure can shift faster than fundamentals justify, and that sizing decisions matter as much as direction calls. For training purposes, this replay is valuable not because it promises profits, but because it builds the habit of separating signal from noise under real historical pressure.