US National (Case-Shiller, 2000+) Historical Replay: 2013-10 to 2016-03
Replay the 2013-10 to 2016-03 Case-Shiller national housing climb, a 10.7% advance across 30 monthly bars. Step through each authentic market day, navigate 6 decision points (2 critical), and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2013-10 to 2016-03 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 0.7% with a 10.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −0.7%
- Max run-up
- +10.9%
- Largest single-month move
- +1.1%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay places you inside the Case-Shiller National Home Price Index from 2013-10 to 2016-03, a pivotal stretch of the US housing recovery. After years of crisis aftermath, the market was testing whether home values could regain sustainable footing. Participants entering this scenario faced the central question of how to position themselves during an established but still unproven upswing.
The index climbed from 159.55 to 176.58 over the 30 monthly bars, delivering a 10.7% total return. The journey was orderly rather than dramatic: the largest single-bar move measured just 1.1%, while the maximum drawdown hit only 0.7%. These figures reflect a market grinding higher with unusual steadiness. Throughout this stretch, you encountered 6 decision points, with 2 flagged as critical moments where positioning would matter most.
The scenario tests whether you can stay disciplined when volatility is minimal and the upside appears modest. A 1.1% monthly swing is easily second-guessed; a 0.7% pullback can feel alarming without context. The real lesson is managing conviction during slow burns—knowing when to hold, when to adjust, and when small fluctuations are simply noise rather than signals.