China National (Real Estate Climate Index, 1998+) Historical Replay: 2012-03 to 2014-10
Replay 30 monthly bars of China's national property index from March 2012 through October 2014, watching the index slip 2.2% with a 3.3% drawdown. Step through six decision points, two of them critical, and receive an AI coach review—simulated capital only, purely educational.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2012-03 to 2014-10 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 3.3% with a 3.7% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −3.3%
- Max run-up
- +3.7%
- Largest single-month move
- +2.4%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
This scenario replays China's national property climate index through the thick of the 2011 regulatory tightening cycle, spanning 30 monthly bars from March 2012 to October 2014. Investors faced a market caught between cooling measures designed to curb speculation and underlying demand that refused to fully evaporate. The stakes were clear: navigate a period of policy-driven uncertainty where conventional momentum strategies could easily backfire.
The index drifted lower, closing at 94.76 from an opening of 96.92—a modest 2.2% decline that nonetheless contained a 3.3% peak-to-trough swing and occasional 2.4% single-month shocks. Six decision points punctuated this drift, two of them critical inflection moments where the trajectory could have shifted either way.
What this replay hammers home is the discipline required when markets offer no clear trend. Six decision points meant six opportunities to test your process—did you stick to pre-defined rules or chase momentum? The 3.3% maximum drawdown serves as a concrete reminder of tail risk, while those 2.4% monthly spikes expose how swiftly sentiment can reverse without warning. The real training here isn't about predicting direction; it's about building a system robust enough to survive when markets lose conviction.