US National (FHFA, 1975Q1+) Historical Replay: 2000-10 to 2008-01
Replay a 30-month U.S. property boom where the FHFA national index climbed 53.9% from 2000-10 to 2008-01. Walk month by month through six decision points, face two critical turning moments, and receive an AI coach review of your choices in this simulated, educational replay.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2000-10 to 2008-01 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 2.2% with a 57.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −2.2%
- Max run-up
- +57.5%
- Largest single-month move
- +3.8%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay places you inside a U.S. residential property boom traced by the FHFA national index. Spanning 2000-10 to 2008-01, this 30-month window captures a sustained climb that tested both conviction and discipline. Six decision points await, including two critical turning moments where positioning could mean the difference between capturing gains or missing the move entirely. The era is the 2000s, and the task is to navigate one of the smoothest major rallies on record.
The index closed at 241.54 at the start and finished at 371.83, delivering a total return of 53.9%. The journey was remarkably calm: the maximum drawdown was only 2.2%, and the largest single monthly move reached just 3.8%. These numbers define a market that rewarded patience with steady appreciation and punished volatility with minimal consequence—a textbook boom environment that nonetheless demands careful decision-making at each juncture.
This replay trains you to act when conviction is tested and exits matter. With two critical nodes embedded among six total decision points, the scenario forces you to balance following the trend against protecting unrealized gains. The low volatility is the trap: it lulls you into complacency, and the 3.8% moves remind you that single bars can still shock. The lesson is process discipline in a forgiving market—staying systematic when conditions are benign so habits hold when they are not.
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