US National (Case-Shiller, 2000+) Historical Replay: 1996-03 to 1998-08
Replay 30 monthly bars of the Case-Shiller national index climbing from 81.67 to 91.41 between March 1996 and August 1998. Step into each decision point and let our AI coach review your simulated historical choices.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 1996-03 to 1998-08 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 0.3% with a 11.9% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −0.3%
- Max run-up
- +11.9%
- Largest single-month move
- +0.9%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay places you inside the US national residential property market as measured by the Case-Shiller index during the 1990s boom period from March 1996 to August 1998. Over 30 monthly bars, you must navigate six decision points—including two marked as critical—while the index climbs from 81.67 to 91.41. The scenario tests your ability to position intelligently in a steadily rising market without becoming complacent about hidden volatility.
During this 30-month window, the index closed 11.9% higher at 91.41, delivering a gentle but consistent uptrend that rewarded patient participants. The journey was far from smooth: the maximum drawdown reached 0.3%, and the largest single monthly move hit 0.9%, reminding traders that even trending markets contain brief reversals. These statistics ground the scenario in authentic historical behavior rather than idealized conditions.
For decision training, the episode sharpens two skills. First, it teaches position sizing under low volatility—knowing when to scale in during calm periods without overcommitting before a pullback. Second, it reveals how psychology behaves in steady climbs: the temptation to chase momentum and the need to respect even tiny drawdowns. Navigating six decision points with two critical junctures forces deliberate planning over reactive improvisation, building habits that transfer to all market environments.