US National (FHFA, 1975Q1+) Historical Replay: 1988-07 to 1995-10
Replay 30 monthly bars of the US national property index from July 1988 to October 1995, watching prices climb 24.2% from 154.03 to 191.23. Step into 6 decision points (2 critical) day by day and receive an AI coach review of your choices in this simulated educational training.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 1988-07 to 1995-10 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 0.4% with a 24.2% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −0.4%
- Max run-up
- +24.2%
- Largest single-month move
- +2.1%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The replay immerses you in the US national property index spanning the late 1980s into the 1990s, specifically July 1988 through October 1995. This era captures the post-recession recovery period following the 1992-01 downturn mentioned in the title, a time when property markets were rebuilding momentum. Six decision points (2 critical) are embedded across 30 monthly bars, challenging your ability to read shifting momentum in a recovering sector.
Over the 30-month span, the index rose from 154.03 to 191.23, delivering a 24.2% gain. The market's resilience is striking: maximum drawdown held at just 0.4%, while the largest single monthly move reached 2.1%. This combination of solid appreciation with contained volatility created a steady climb rather than dramatic swings, testing whether participants could stay disciplined through gradual, consistent progress.
The training value lies in navigating low-volatility optimism. With minimal drawdown and modest bar-by-bar moves, the temptation is to underposition or become complacent. Yet the 2.1% monthly spikes punctuate otherwise quiet bars, demanding vigilance. Critical decision points test whether you scale positions during calm stretches or wait for confirmation. The psychological lesson: steady markets reward patience and sizing discipline as much as dramatic reversals do. Decision training here focuses on maintaining conviction without overconfidence when the ride appears smooth.