S&P/BMV IPC Downtrend Replay (2019-02-05 to 2019-03-08)
Replay a Mexican IPC correction with a 6.2% max drawdown over 48 daily bars from January to March 2019. You walk through each session, tackle nine decision points, and receive an AI coach review in this simulated market-replay exercise.
48 daily bars · 9 decision points · 2019-01 to 2019-03 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 69 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 6.2% and a 4.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −6.2%
- Max run-up
- +4.0%
- Duration
- 69 days
- Largest single-day move
- −2.3%
- Bars
- 48 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 9
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Mexican IPC index entered a correction phase during the early months of 2019, a period when global equity markets were navigating uncertainty amid shifting monetary policy signals. This replay scenario spans 48 daily bars from January 16 to March 26, 2019, placing participants directly into a market environment where downside pressure was materializing. What was at stake was the ability to manage risk in a declining environment, make timely decisions under pressure, and avoid common behavioral pitfalls that amplify losses during drawdowns.
The index closed the period at 42826.16, down from 43819.53, representing a net decline of -2.3%. The correction proved more volatile than the headline number suggests, with a max drawdown of 6.2% reached during the replay window. The largest single-bar move measured 2.3%, underscoring that sharp reversals can occur even within a measured decline. Participants encountered nine decision points across the scenario, with three deemed critical junctures where directional conviction and position sizing would have materially influenced outcomes.
This replay strips away hindsight bias to train decision-making under authentic uncertainty. Navigating a -2.3% decline that contains a 6.2% drawdown demands discipline: cutting losses before they compound, sizing positions to survive volatility spikes, and resisting the urge to average down into a falling market. The nine decision points serve as checkpoints for evaluating process over outcome, while the three critical moments test whether participants can act decisively when conviction is required. Psychology matters as much as analysis here; managing fear and maintaining a consistent framework are the skills this scenario hones.