S&P/BMV IPC Downtrend Replay (2002-04-17 to 2002-06-26)
The Mexican IPC slid 16.4% from March to July 2002, testing traders with a 22.2% drawdown amid relentless volatility. Replay those 98 daily bars step by step, confront 11 decision points including 4 critical junctures, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
98 daily bars · 11 decision points · 2002-03 to 2002-07 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 144 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 22.2% and a 5.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −22.2%
- Max run-up
- +5.8%
- Duration
- 144 days
- Largest single-day move
- +3.7%
- Bars
- 98 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 11
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In early 2002, the Mexican equity market faced mounting uncertainty as the S&P/BMV IPC index—Mexico's flagship stock benchmark—began showing cracks after a period of relative calm. The period from March 8 to July 30, 2002, spanning 98 trading days, would test the resolve of any investor navigating this emerging market. For traders in the 2000s era, the IPC represented both opportunity and vulnerability in an economy sensitive to shifting global sentiment.
The index closed the period at 6014.68, down from 7192.22—a decline of 16.4%. Yet the headline number only tells part of the story. The maximum drawdown reached 22.2%, meaning anyone holding through the worst stretches faced a loss more severe than the final tally suggested. Volatility was persistent, punctuated by a largest single-bar move of 3.7%, creating an environment where defensive positioning was essential. Eleven decision points were embedded within those 98 daily bars, with four critical junctures demanding the sharpest judgment.
This replay session strips away hindsight and forces participants to act in real time. The lesson is not about predicting the bottom but about managing risk when the trend is against you. Participants confront the psychological pull to hold losing positions, the timing pressure at inflection points, and the discipline required to preserve capital in a sustained downtrend. Each of the 11 decision moments offers a mirror for examining process over prediction.