USD/THB Historical Replay: 2015-11 to 2016-05
Replay 132 daily bars from 2015-11-16 to 2016-05-16 as the Thai baet navigated a 5.9% drawdown amid emerging-market turmoil. You step through each session, make decisions at 8 critical inflection points, and receive an AI coach review of your choices.
132 daily bars · 23 decision points · 2015-11 to 2016-05 · Forex
Key facts
This window spans 182 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 5.9% and a 3.5% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −5.9%
- Max run-up
- +3.5%
- Duration
- 182 days
- Largest single-day move
- −2.9%
- Bars
- 132 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 23
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In the autumn of 2015, the Thai baht entered a period of structural pressure as global capital rotated out of emerging markets. The scenario opens on 2015-11-16 and runs through 2016-05-16, capturing 132 daily bars during one of the most volatile stretches for Asian currencies in the 2010s. The backdrop included a surprise devaluation of the Chinese yuan in January 2016—a shock that rippled across the region and made every decision point a test of crisis instincts. Participants face 23 decision moments, of which 8 are marked as critical inflection points where positioning could mean the difference between preserving capital and compounding losses.
The replay data shows the pair closing at 35.392 after opening near 36.129, a net move of -2.0%. Yet the journey was far from linear: the maximum drawdown reached 5.9% and the single most violent session moved the market by 2.9% in one day. These statistics reveal the deceptive danger of EM FX—modest net trends can mask sudden spikes that obliterate leveraged positions. The baht's vulnerability during this window illustrates how external shocks, not domestic fundamentals alone, can drive short-term dislocation in small open economies.
For decision training, this replay forces participants to confront three core challenges: calibrating position size against a 5.9% drawdown environment, maintaining discipline when 2.9% single-session moves challenge stop-loss logic, and resisting the narrative trap of extrapolating China's currency crisis onto every EM pair. The 8 critical decision points serve as deliberate pressure tests, each requiring traders to reassess whether their process—not their conviction—should govern their next move. This session ultimately measures whether emotional discipline and sound risk management can withstand the psychological strain of watching capital erode in real time.
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