USD/CNY Historical Replay: 2017-11 to 2018-05
Replay the USD/CNY market from November 2017 to May 2018, watching the pair drop 4.5% across 130 daily bars. Make your own calls at 23 decision points, then receive an AI coach review of each simulated trade.
130 daily bars · 23 decision points · 2017-11 to 2018-05 · Forex
Key facts
This window spans 181 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 5.9% and a 1.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −5.9%
- Max run-up
- +1.6%
- Duration
- 181 days
- Largest single-day move
- +0.9%
- Bars
- 130 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 23
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
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Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The USD/CNY market replay transports participants to a pivotal six-month stretch in late 2017 and early 2018, when the world's two largest economies navigated shifting monetary policy expectations and uneven growth trajectories. This scenario captures 130 daily bars of exchange rate action, placing traders at the center of decisions during a period marked by synchronized global expansion and evolving risk sentiment. The challenge: read the macro currents correctly while managing the inherent volatility of a freely fluctuating currency pair.
The numbers tell a story of gradual but persistent dollar weakness. The pair closed at 6.6386 in mid-November 2017 and finished at 6.3383 by May 2018, representing a 4.5% decline over the replay period. The maximum drawdown reached 5.9%, serving as a reminder that even a directional move of modest magnitude can subject positions to significant interim stress. The largest single-bar move of 0.9% proved that the market could deliver sharp intraday surprises, testing the discipline of anyone holding directional exposure through volatility spikes. Across 23 decision points—8 deemed critical—participants faced repeated tests of conviction versus caution.
This replay excels as a decision-training exercise precisely because it combines trending directionality with drawdown risk and sudden volatility. Traders must practice scaling in and out of positions, respecting their maximum pain thresholds, and maintaining composure when a 0.9% adverse bar arrives unexpectedly. The historical context reinforces that macro-driven currency moves rarely proceed in straight lines, making process discipline and psychological resilience as important as any single directional call.