USD/CNY Historical Replay: 2015-11 to 2016-04
Replay 108 daily bars from 2015-11 to 2016-04, when USD/CNY closed up 2.1% with a 2.2% drawdown. Step through every decision point and receive an AI coach review on your policy-era choices. Simulated capital only for educational market replay.
108 daily bars · 19 decision points · 2015-11 to 2016-04 · Forex
Key facts
This window spans 150 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 2.2% and a 4.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −2.2%
- Max run-up
- +4.0%
- Duration
- 150 days
- Largest single-day move
- −1.2%
- Bars
- 108 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 19
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The scenario immerses traders in USD/CNY dynamics during a pivotal six-month window from late 2015 through early 2016. This was the period surrounding the US Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike in nearly a decade, a decision that reverberated across global currency markets. The Chinese yuan faced pressure as capital flows shifted and policy expectations evolved. Participants must navigate 19 decision points, including 7 critical junctures, while managing exposure to a currency pair that was undergoing significant structural adjustment in its exchange rate mechanism.
The market moved from 6.3362 to 6.4686, representing a modest 2.1% appreciation in the dollar against the yuan over 108 trading days. Despite the seemingly contained directional trend, volatility remained pronounced, with a maximum drawdown of 2.2% and occasional sharp single-day movements reaching 1.2%. This combination of limited overall movement yet substantial intraday fluctuations created a challenging environment for traders attempting to capture directional trends or manage position risk.
The replay exposes the tension between conviction and adaptation in policy-driven markets. Trainees learn that directional bets based on macroeconomic consensus can be undermined by timing, positioning, and the market's tendency to price in expectations well in advance. The drawdown metric reminds us that even well-reasoned trades require disciplined risk management. Navigating 19 decision points cultivates the psychological resilience needed to reassess positions when the thesis evolves, turning historical complexity into transferable decision-making skills.
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