San Francisco Historical Replay: 2019-07 to 2021-12
Replay San Francisco property markets from mid-2019 through late 2021, when prices climbed 27.9% across 30 monthly bars. Step through each historical day, face six critical decision points, and receive an AI coach review in a simulated environment.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2019-07 to 2021-12 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 1.6% with a 30.0% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −1.6%
- Max run-up
- +30.0%
- Largest single-month move
- +3.2%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The San Francisco property market entered a remarkable trajectory spanning mid-2019 through late 2021, a 30-month period that captured both the final breath of a decade-long expansion and the unprecedented disruption of a global pandemic. Investors and analysts tracking this market faced a landscape where decade-old appreciation trends collided with economic uncertainty, demanding careful evaluation of local fundamentals against broader macroeconomic forces. The stakes were considerable: misunderstanding this transition could mean missing substantial gains or misallocating capital during a once-in-a-generation market shift.
What unfolded was a 27.9% price appreciation from 270.05 to 345.38, an outcome that defied early 2020 skeptics who anticipated prolonged decline. The journey proved remarkably smooth given the circumstances, with a maximum drawdown of only 1.6% and the largest monthly candle measuring just 3.2%. Participants encountered six distinct decision points throughout this period, with two emerging as particularly consequential for long-term outcomes. The market rewarded those who maintained conviction through volatility clusters while remaining adaptive to shifting conditions.
This replay scenario offers valuable lessons in managing extended directional moves during extraordinary uncertainty. The shallow drawdown profile challenges assumptions about risk during crises, while the moderate single-bar volatility tests emotional discipline when monthly swings create pressure to react. The critical decision points simulate moments when recency bias and fear could derail sound process, making this exercise as much about psychological resilience as market knowledge. Maintaining adherence to established principles amid a global disruption, rather than abandoning strategy, ultimately distinguishes those who navigate such periods successfully.
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