Minneapolis Historical Replay: 2015-11 to 2018-04
Replay 30 monthly Minneapolis property bars from November 2015 to April 2018, watching the index climb 14.8% to 169.25. You'll walk through each decision point, weigh the policy shocks, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2015-11 to 2018-04 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 1.3% with a 16.4% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −1.3%
- Max run-up
- +16.4%
- Largest single-month move
- +1.9%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
In November 2015, Minneapolis property stood at 147.38 as the Federal Reserve prepared its first rate hike in nearly a decade. The 2010s housing recovery was maturing, and investors faced a critical question: would higher borrowing costs cool an already-heated market, or would tight supply keep prices aloft? This 30-month replay spans 2015-11 to 2018-04, placing you inside six decision points where monetary policy intersected with local supply-demand dynamics. The stakes were clear: navigate the Fed's tightening cycle without misjudging its impact on a mid-sized American city market.
The index ultimately climbed to 169.25, delivering a 14.8% total return. Notably, the journey featured a maximum drawdown of just 1.3% and a largest single-bar move of only 1.9%. Rather than dramatic swings, the market rewarded patience with steady, contained appreciation. Two decision points were flagged as critical, demanding participants reassess exposure in response to policy signals while the broader trend remained constructive.
This replay teaches that process outweighs prediction in trending-yet-measured markets. The modest 1.3% drawdown reminds us that risk management can preserve capital even when returns are unspectacular. The psychology challenge is resisting overreaction: with no dramatic crashes or booms, staying disciplined through six checkpoints required emotional steadiness rather than heroic timing. For decision training, the lesson is clear—consistent process and controlled risk exposure often outperform bold bets in gradual recovery phases.
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