Seattle Historical Replay: 2012-12 to 2015-05
Replay 30 monthly bars of Seattle's recovery from December 2012 to May 2015, when city property values climbed 27.4%. Navigate 6 decision points, including 2 critical ones, with simulated capital and receive AI coach review.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2012-12 to 2015-05 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 1.7% with a 28.1% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −1.7%
- Max run-up
- +28.1%
- Largest single-month move
- +3.1%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
Seattle's housing market in late 2012 was emerging from years of post-crisis weakness. The replay covers December 2012 to May 2015, a 30-month window during which the city was rebuilding confidence in urban real estate. Participants navigate this recovery with simulated capital, facing 6 decision points—2 of which the framing identifies as critical junctures that could shift outcomes materially.
Against this backdrop, Seattle property values rose steadily from 141.75 to 180.54, delivering a 27.4% cumulative return across 30 monthly bars. The recovery was remarkably smooth: maximum drawdown barely reached 1.7%, while the largest single-month move topped just 3.1%. These figures paint a market that climbed with unusual steadiness, rewarding patience over timing.
The scenario teaches process discipline in a forgiving environment. Low volatility and shallow pullbacks let participants test conviction without severe consequences for missteps. With 2 critical decision points embedded among the 6, the replay challenges players to identify inflection moments even when the broader trend feels obvious. For decision training, the lesson is that calm markets test psychology as much as strategy—preserving capital during the 1.7% drawdown and resisting overtrading during the 3.1% spikes separates disciplined participants from reactive ones.
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