Seattle Historical Replay: 2008-12 to 2011-05
Walk the 30-month US city property collapse from December 2008 to May 2011, watching the index slide 14.8% with a 17.1% drawdown. Replay the era day by day, face six decision points, and let the AI coach review your simulated choices.
30 monthly bars · 6 decision points · 2008-12 to 2011-05 · Property
Key facts
Peak-to-trough drawdown of 17.1% with a 2.8% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −17.1%
- Max run-up
- +2.8%
- Largest single-month move
- −3.6%
- Bars
- 30 Monthly bars
- Decision points
- 6
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The US housing market in late 2008 stood at the epicenter of a financial crisis that had rippled across global markets. The Seattle city property index invites participants to replay the 30-month descent from December 2008 to May 2011, a period when housing values continued their steep decline even as broader financial markets attempted stabilization. This is not just a historical exercise—it is a pressure test of decision-making under prolonged stress.
Over the 30 monthly bars, the index retreated from 160.19 to 136.56, a decline of 14.8%. The journey was more turbulent than the headline figure suggests: a maximum drawdown of 17.1% tested portfolio values, while the largest single monthly move of 3.6% delivered sharp, sudden shocks. Six decision points punctuated this slide, two of which the simulation marks as critical junctures where positioning could have substantially altered outcomes.
The Seattle collapse teaches that in extended downturns, the true test is not technical analysis but psychological endurance. Participants learn to recognize that drawdowns rarely follow a straight line—clusters of volatility can erode conviction even when long-term trends are clear. The two critical decision points illustrate how a single choice during extreme conditions can shift risk exposure dramatically. By replaying these moments without real capital at stake, learners build the emotional discipline needed to navigate future crises where the consequences are genuine.
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