Commodity Shock · Bovespa Index (2015)
Replay 144 daily bars of the Bovespa Index from September 2014 to April 2015, a stretch that erased 7.1% on the close and hit a 20.6% drawdown. Walk through each session, tackle 25 decision points with 9 critical ones, and receive an AI coach review of your simulated choices.
144 daily bars · 25 decision points · 2014-09 to 2015-04 · Stocks
Key facts
This window spans 211 days with a peak-to-trough drawdown of 20.6% and a 15.6% run-up.
- Max drawdown
- −20.6%
- Max run-up
- +15.6%
- Duration
- 211 days
- Largest single-day move
- +5.0%
- Bars
- 144 Daily bars
- Decision points
- 25
Every figure above is computed programmatically from this replay’s own candle series — no editorial input, no LLM. Methodology: Methodology
The market advances day by day. You only see candles up to the current day — as if you were really there.
At key decision points choose Buy / Trim / Exit / Hold. Each decision advances the timeline by one day.
After settlement you get a six-dimension score and an AI coach review. Your result enters the scenario leaderboard.
Event Replay
What happened — and what it teaches
The Bovespa Index faced a turbulent stretch from September 2014 to April 2015, a period dominated by collapsing commodity prices and shifting monetary policy expectations across emerging markets. Brazil's equity benchmark, measured across 144 daily bars in the 2010s, confronted simultaneous pressures from declining oil markets and domestic policy uncertainty. This replay places participants in the shoes of investors navigating one of the most challenging stretches for Brazilian equities in recent memory.
The index ultimately fell from 58337 to 54214, a -7.1% decline on close. The journey proved far more volatile than the final number suggests, with a maximum drawdown of 20.6% and individual sessions swinging as much as 5.0% in a single day. The distance between peak and trough tested even patient strategies, turning what appeared modest on paper into a nerve-wracking exercise in portfolio discipline.
Participants confronted 25 decision points across this period, with 9 flagged as critical junctions where directional conviction mattered most. This replay sharpens the ability to manage risk when macro headwinds coincide, maintain conviction during extended drawdowns, and recognize when market structure signals exhaustion rather than continuation. The experience cultivates psychological resilience and systematic decision-making under sustained pressure.